Toyota Owners 400 Vegas Odds

Kasey Kahne, Clint Bowyer, and Brad Keselowski all sit at +1000 on the odds to win the Toyota Owners 400 this weekend, with Kahne in second place in the current Cup standings and Keselowski sitting in third place. Carl Edwards, Jeff Gordon, Kevin Harvick, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. All hold down +1200 odds. The Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway will be the second of back-to-back short track races and the third event on a course less than a mile in length during the past four weeks. For fans of this style of racing, it doesn’t get much better. Since March 2020, the sports world has been upended on a daily basis due to the coronavirus pandemic. The NBA and NHL immediately suspended their seasons as the playoffs closed in, college basketball abruptly cancelled conference tournaments and March Madness, Major League Baseball cancelled spring training, and much more.

2014 Toyota Owners 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Favorites, Sleepers and Drivers to Avoid: After a one-week hiatus, the Cup Series gets back to business at Richmond International Raceway this weekend with Saturday night’s Toyota Owners 400. The race will be the third short track event of the 2014 season, but unlike the half-mile short tracks of Bristol and Martinsville, Richmond’s 0.75-mile layout allows for some higher speeds while keeping all the old-fashioned bumping and banging that fans love about short track racing. As a result, Richmond is often referred to as the “action track” by drivers because something always seems to be waiting to erupt. Last year, the excitement came in the final two laps when Kevin Harvick drove from seventh to first, completing a three-wide, racing-winning pass shortly after the final restart to steal the victory from the dominant cars of Clint Bowyer, Matt Kenseth and Juan Pablo Montoya.

The Favorites

Since joining the Cup Series in 2005, Kyle Busch has been the most-consistent driver at Richmond. In addition to his series-leading 7.2 average finish at the short track, he has four wins and four second-place finishes in his 18 starts. Busch has also led the second-most laps of any driver during the stretch and has only finished outside the top five in five of his starts. Busch is a safe bet to be in the mix for the win this weekend.

Not only is Kevin Harvick the only driver with multiple wins in 2014, but he also happens to be the defending winner of this weekend’s race In fact, Harvick is a three-time winner at Richmond overall, and he is the only driver to win multiple races at the short track in the last five races. Since 2005, Harvick’s 8.7 average finish at Richmond ranks third in the series, and no driver has spent more laps in the top 15 during the stretch. The bottom line is that Harvick will be near the front this weekend, and he has proven he can steal the deal.

Virginia native Denny Hamlin has enjoyed a ton of success at his home-state track throughout his career. He is a two-time winner at Richmond, and his 8.9 average finish at the track is the second best in the series. Perhaps more impressively, Hamlin has led more laps than any other driver at Richmond since the start of the 2005 season despite running only 15 of the 18 races during the stretch.

The Dark Horses

His success at Richmond has been more of a recent development, but Carl Edwards has sure been on a roll at the track recently. In the last six races at RIR, he leads all drivers with five top-10s, three top-five finishes and 376 laps led. Edwards’ recent run of success at the short track culminated with his first victory last fall, and don’t be surprised if he makes it two wins in a row at Richmond this weekend.

Richmond has always been kind to Clint Bowyer, and he has been even better at the track since joining Michael Waltrip Racing in 2012. For his career, he owns a 10.1 average finish at the track and has 13 top-12s in 16 starts, including a pair of wins. Meanwhile, Bowyer has three finishes of seventh or better in four starts at Richmond with MWR, including a victory and a second-place finish.

Sleeper Special

He has been picking up steam in recent weeks, and this weekend, A.J. Allmendinger will get a chance to make some noise at a track that has been one of his best. He is riding a streak of seven straight finishes of 17th or better at Richmond, and in his last six starts, he has five top-15s. Allmendinger managed a pair of top-15s at RIR last year while driving for his current JTG Daugherty Racing team so he could be within striking distance of an upset Saturday night.

Big Name to Avoid

While he hasn’t been terrible at Richmond, Brad Keselowski has never really been a serious contender for a win at the short track either. In nine starts, he has a mediocre 20.1 average finish. Granted, he has several top-15 runs, but he only has two top-10s at RIR and has never cracked the top five. Keselowski would have to make a sizeable leap to end up in victory lane this weekend.

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On Saturday, April 13th, NASCAR will be live under the lights at the Richmond Raceway in Richmond, Virginia, for the Toyota Owners 400. This is the 9th race of the season and Kyle Busch has a commanding lead at the top of the standings. With 3 wins on the season, and the defending champ of this race, Busch is the odds on favorite to win this Saturday night according to the majority of NASCAR betting sites.

Race Profile

The Richmond Raceway has been a part of NASCAR since the early 1950s. It’s one of the oldest venues to host NASCAR races and it’s a place where many of NASCAR’s legends were born. Lee Petty, the father of Richard Petty, won the first race here in 1953. NASCAR has run races at Richmond every year since 1959.

The track has an asphalt surface with a distance of .75 miles. It’s a basic d-shape oval with 4 turns, a front stretch, and a backstretch. After being moved around on the calendar over the last few years, the spring Richmond race returned to Saturday nights where it’s traditionally been held for decades.

The Toyota Owners 400 breaks down as follows:

• Total Miles: 300
• Total Laps: 400
• Stage 1: First 100 laps
• Stage 2: Second 100 laps
• Final Stage: Remaining 200 laps

The race begins at 7:30 PM ET and it will air on FOX.

What to Watch for in Richmond

The following Toyota Owners 400 storylines are worth keeping an eye on this Saturday night:

• Will Kyle Busch tie Richard Petty for the most spring Richmond race wins?
• Can anyone dethrone Busch at Richmond?
• Will Kevin Harvick contend for a checkered flag?
• Is this the race that Kyle Larson gets his first win of 2019?
• Can Joey Logano win his 3rd spring Richmond race?

We've waited long enough to say this… IT'S RACE WEEK!#ToyotaCare250 #ToyotaOwners400 https://t.co/kJpiCYGOt4pic.twitter.com/iQMj4dh3KF

— Richmond Raceway (@RichmondRaceway) April 7, 2019

Previous Toyota Owners 400 Winners

With such a rich history, this race has seen many great winners come and go. “The King” Richard Petty holds the record with the most wins of the spring Richmond race at 6. However, Kyle Busch swept the Richmond races last year and is poised to tie Petty for the most wins in this race if he can win on Saturday night. Of all the active drivers, Joey Logano is the only other one to win two or more races along with Kyle Busch. The following is a list of winners dating back to 2004:

• Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2004, 2006 and 2000
• Kasey Kahne in 2005
• Jimmie Johnson in 2007
• Clint Bowyer in 2008
• Kyle Busch from 2009 to 2012 and in 2018
• Kevin Harvick in 2013
• Joey Logano in 2014, 2017
• Kurt Busch in 2015
• Carl Edwards in 2016

NASCAR Toyota Owners 400 Betting Odds

The following NASCAR betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

• Kyle Busch +200
• Brad Keselowski +600
• Kevin Harvick +600
• Joey Logano +700
• Martin Truex Jr +700
• Denny Hamlin +800
• Ryan Blaney +1200
• Chase Elliott +1400
• Clint Bowyer +2000
• Aric Almirola +2200
• Kurt Busch +2200
• Kyle Larson +2200
• Erik Jones +2800
• Jimmie Johnson +2800
• Daniel Suarez +5000
• Austin Dillon +10000
• Ryan Newman +10000
• Alex Bowman +12500
• Matt DiBenedetto +12500
• Paul Menard +12500
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr +12500
• William Byron +12500
• Chris Buescher +25000
• Daniel Hemric +25000
• Ryan Preece +25000
• Darrell Wallace Jr +50000
• David Ragan +50000

Food City 500 Betting Favorites

According to most NASCAR betting sites, the following drivers are considered the odds on favorites to win the Toyota Owners 400:

Driver	Wins	Top 5	Top 10	Avg Start	Avg Finish	DNF
Kyle Busch	6	17	20	12.7	6.9	0
Brad Keselowski	1	4	9	10.6	13.5	1
Kevin Harvick	3	14	23	13.7	10.1	0
Joey Logano	2	8	11	9.4	9.6	1
Martin Truex Jr.	0	3	9	13.8	19.2	4

Kyle Busch (+200)

If there were any doubts as to who the best driver is in 2019, Kyle Busch silenced those doubts last weekend and put that argument to rest after winning at Bristol. It was his 3rd win of the season and he’s now 8 for 8 with Top 10 finishes this year. He also has 5 Top 5’s. Coming into this weekend, Kyle has an average finish of 3.4 this season and it should be no surprise that he sits on top of the driver standings with a 27 point lead over Denny Hamlin. Kyle has won the most stages and also has the most playoff points.

If that wasn’t enough to deter his rivals, then his success at Richmond should do the job. In 27 starts, Busch has 6 wins, 17 Top 5’s, 20 Top 10’s, an average finish of 6.9, has zero DNFs and swept both races last year. Only twice has he ever finished outside of the Top 20. It’s an incredible domination at a historic track and there should be no reason why he doesn’t continue that success this weekend.

Brad Keselowski (+600)

I understand that Keselowski has 2 wins this year and that he’s one of the top drivers at this point in 2019, but having him with higher odds than some of the other drivers like Denny Hamlin or Joey Logano is just silly on behalf of the NASCAR oddsmakers. For the year, Keselowski sits 5th in the standings with 2 wins, 4 Top 5’s and 4 Top 10’s. He’s had two subpar races in a row with a 36th place in Texas and then an 18th last weekend at Bristol. Keselowski needs to bounce back this weekend and get some momentum going again.

But will he be able to bounce back at Richmond? In 19 career starts, Brad has 1 win, 4 Top 5’s, 9 Top 10’s, an average finish of 13.5 and 1 DNF. Brad has been consistent at this track, but he hasn’t won since the fall Richmond race in 2014. Since then, he has 5 Top 10’s with a runner up in the spring 2017 race.

Keselowski should be in the hunt for another Top 10 at Richmond, but I don’t think he will compete with Busch and some of the other drivers for the checkered flag.

Kevin Harvick (+600)

Is there any other driver disappointing fans and experts more than Kevin Harvick? And, that’s pretty hard to say considering he’s 4th in the driver standings with 3 Top 5’s, 6 Top 10’s, and 2 stage wins. However, he hasn’t won at all in the first 8 races. At this point last year, Harvick already had 3 wins and was the odds on favorite to win the championship. But, this year, he hasn’t even led the most laps in a race so far. With that said, Richmond might be just what Harvick needs to turn things around.

In his 36 starts, Harvick has 3 wins, 14 Top 5’s, 23 Top 10’s, an average finish of 10.1, and 0 DNFs. Since his 2013 win of this spring race, Harvick has 7 Top 5’s, 9 Top 11’s, and his lowest result was 15th. Last year, Harvick was 5th in this race and 2nd in the Fall.

I like Harvick’s chances more than Keselowski or Truex. And, I think the #4 car is going to have something to compete with this Saturday night.

Joey Logano (+700)

Logano comes into this weekend sitting 3rd in the standings with 1 win, 4 Top 5’s, 5 Top 10’s, and is second behind Kyle Busch with 3 stage wins. After two average performances at Martinsville and Texas, Logano had a strong run last weekend at Bristol when he finished 3rd. He led 146 laps, which was second most on the day. Despite some middle of the pack finishes this year, Joey is still averaging a 9.9 finish.

At Richmond, Logano has 2 wins, 8 Top 5’s, 11 Top 10’s, an average finish of 11.6 and 1 DNF in 20 career starts. However, it’s been his last 10 races where Logano has really excelled at this track. During that span, Logano has 9 Top 10’s, 6 Top 5’s, and 2 wins. His worst finish was 14th over that span, which came in last year’s fall race.

As mentioned above, Logano is the only other active driver to have won this spring race twice. Will he be able to make it a third time this weekend?

Martin Truex Jr (+700)

Of all the betting favorites, Truex has had the worst success at this track. For starters, he has 4 DNFs in his career at Richmond. In 26 starts, he has no wins, 3 Top 5’s, 9 Top 10’s, and a 19.2 average finish. These aren’t good numbers. Even in his 2017 championship season, Truex crashed out of the fall race and only managed a 10th place finish in the spring race that year.

For this season, Truex has probably been the most disappointing driver even if he might be overshadowed some by Harvick’s shortcomings. Last year, Truex was a member of the Big 3, but this year, he’s far from it. Although he’s ranked 7th in the standings, Truex has only really been competitive in two races: Atlanta and Phoenix where he finished 2nd at both tracks.

Last weekend, Truex only managed to crack the Top 20 as he finished 17th. It’s his third race outside of the Top 10 this year. Martin really needs a win with his new racing team. Unfortunately, this isn’t the track for that to happen. With Truex’s struggles at Richmond, he will be very fortunate to even crack the Top 10. More than likely, Martin’s looking at a 15th to 20th place finish this weekend.

Best Betting Value at Richmond

The following drivers offer betting value for this weekend’s Toyota Owners 400 due to their current betting odds, their past success at this track, and their 2019 season:

Driver	Wins	Top 5	Top 10	Avg Start	Avg Finish	DNF
Kurt Busch	2	7	15	16.1	15.4	1
Kyle Larson	1	2	4	8.5	9.7	0
Jimmie Johnson	3	7	15	13.1	15.1	1

Kurt Busch (+2200)

On the year, Kurt Busch sits 8th in the standings. However, he moved up 2 spots this week after finishing 2nd at Bristol last weekend. Other than his 25th place at Daytona when he got caught up in a wreck, Kurt has finished 12th or better in 7 straight races. He has 3 Top 5’s and 6 Top 10’s this season.

The Busch brothers finished 1-2 last weekend at Bristol where they both won in the past. Richmond is another track where both brothers have won as well. Could we see another 1-2 Busch finish?

In 36 starts, Kurt has 2 wins, 7 Top 5’s, 15 Top 10’s, an average finish of 15.4 and just 1 DNF. Last year, he finished 11th and 18th at this track. Prior to that, he had 8 Top 10’s dating back to the 2013 spring race. That span also included Kurt winning the 2015 spring race here.

#NationalSiblingDay@KyleBusch @KurtBuschpic.twitter.com/pyR0OltSXM

— NASCAR (@NASCAR) April 10, 2019

Kyle Larson (+2200)

As my hometown driver, I have a soft spot for Larson. Although I root for him, it’s hard to pick him to win at tracks when he’s going up against other drivers that are better. With that said, Larson actually has a shot at Richmond and his betting odds offer great value.

In 10 races, Larson has 1 win, 2 Top 5’s, 4 Top 10’s, an average finish of 9.7 and 0 DNFs. Last year, Larson finished 7th in both Richmond races. He has 4 Top 5’s in the last 5 Richmond races. Now, you can see why I feel Kyle will be contending for a checkered flag at Richmond. And, it’s much needed for Larson as he’s had an inconsistent 2019 to date.

Currently, Larson sits 14th in the standings and that’s down two sports after finishing 19th last weekend at Bristol. With only 2 Top 10’s on the year and 0 Top 5’s, Larson desperately needs a strong run this weekend and I think he will get it.

Jimmie Johnson (+2800)

Mr. “7-Times” has been a weekly play for me as a betting value pick or as a longshot. And, this weekend will be no different. JJ has taken some lumps this season with a new crew chief, but it appears he’s starting to turn things around. Two weeks ago, JJ started on the pole at Texas and ended up finishing 5th after leading 50 laps. He then followed that up with a 10th place finish at Bristol last weekend. JJ has moved up 2 spots in the standings and now sits 13th overall with 1 Top 5, 4 Top 10’s, and a modest 14.5 average finish.

At Richmond, JJ has 3 wins, 7 Top 5’s, 15 Top 10’s, an average finish of 15.1 and just 1 DNF. Over the last 9 races at this track, JJ has finished in the Top 11 for all of them. He also has 2 Top 5’s in that span. Last year, despite being a down year for JJ, he managed to place 6th in the spring race and 8th in the fall.

I expect Johnson to be in the Top 10 and, with a little luck, could possibly be up front at the end of the race.

Top Longshot to Win at Richmond

Ryan Newman at +10000 odds is once again my longshot to win. This is the 6th time that I’ve had Ryan listed as the longshot and it’s because of his past success at this track. In 34 starts, Newman has 1 win, 7 Top 5’s, 18 Top 10’s, an average finish of 12.6 and 1 DNF which came in the spring race last year. He bounced back to get a 15th in the fall race. Prior to that, Newman finished 3rd and 7th in the 2017 Richmond races. I really like Newman’s 52% Top 10 rate at Richmond and I believe he will do that again this weekend.

Newman has put together two solid weeks in a row. At Texas, he finished 11th and last weekend he finished 9th at Bristol. Newman appears to be gaining some momentum and I like that to carry over to this Saturday night’s Richmond race.

Toyota Owners 400 Prop Bets: Driver Matchups

These NASCAR prop bets require you to pick the winning driver out of head-to-head matchups at the Richmond Raceway on Saturday, April 13th. These driver matchups and betting odds are courtesy of 5Dimes:

Aric Almirola (-115) vs Kyle Larson (-115)

Driver	Aric Almirola	Kyle Larson
Wins	0	1
Top 5	2	2
Top 10	5	4
Avg Start	21.1	8.5
Avg Finish	15.5	9.7
DNF	0	0
Total Races	14	10

Almirola currently sits 9th in the standings, which is 5 spots higher than Larson. Almirola has 6 Top 10’s on the year, which is 3 times as many as Larson has on the year. However, Richmond is a track where Almirola has struggled at and I believe that will continue this weekend despite his strong running this season.

Aric has only ever led 1 lap here while Larson has led 73 and won at Richmond. They both have the same amount of Top 5’s despite Almirola having 4 more tries. Larson has a better average start and finish, which will also come into play this weekend.

Toyota Owners 400 Vegas Odds Nfl Week 11

I believe this is the weekend Larson turns his season around and I like him to win in this head to head matchup. Almirola will crack the Top 20, but Larson will be in the Top 5 and challenging for a checkered flag when it’s all said and done.

Austin Dillon (-130) vs Ryan Newman (+100)

Driver	Austin Dillon	Ryan Newman
Wins	0	1
Top 5	0	7
Top 10	1	18
Avg Start	22.4	13.3
Avg Finish	19.6	12.6
DNF	0	1
Total Races	10	34

I really like this matchup and I believe it offers fantastic betting value. I’ve laid out my case for Newman at Richmond in the longshot section above. And, I believe he’s going to easily beat Austin Dillon in this head to head matchup. Dillon has only 1 Top 10 at Richmond and that came in the fall race last year. His average finish of 19.6 is 7 spots lower than Newman and his average starting position is 9 spots worse.

Dillon has never led a lap at this track and currently sits 3 spots lower in the driver standings than Newman. Austin has put together two straight 14th place finishes compared to Newman who was 11th and 9th. However, Dillon’s momentum is going to come to a halt on Saturday at Richmond. His lack of success at this track leads me to believe that Newman will smoke him in this prop bet.

Jimmie Johnson (-160) vs Ricky Stenhouse Jr (+130)

Toyota Owners 400 Vegas Odds

Driver	Jimmie Johnson	Ricky Stenhouse Jr
Wins	3	0
Top 5	7	1
Top 10	15	2
Avg Start	13.1	15.4
Avg Finish	15.2	19.8
DNF	1	0
Total Races	34	12

Currently, JJ sits 3 spots higher than Stenhouse in the standings, but I believe that’s going to change starting this weekend. JJ has been trending upward these last two weeks while Stenhouse has been trending downward with a 33rd place finish at Bristol last weekend. He was 16th in Texas where JJ finished 5th as well.

Stenhouse has just one Top 5 in 12 races and just 2 Top 10’s. JJ has run well at Richmond especially over the last 5 years. Johnson is a significant betting favorite in this matchup and I expect him to easily win. Look for JJ to be a Top 10 car all race and for Stenhouse to barely crack the Top 25.

Toyota Owners 400 Vegas Odds This Week

The Toyota Owners 400 Checkered Flag

I feel like a broken record or, for the more modern crown, I feel like my Apple Music is stuck on repeat as I once again say that Kyle Busch is the man to beat this weekend. However, unlike with recent tracks where I said this already, Kyle really is the man at Richmond. He’s coming into this race with a lot of momentum as he swept both Richmond races last year. He leads the series with 3 wins on the season so far, and he looks like he could get 10 this year.

I do think there will be a few challengers on Saturday night, which means that Kyle won’t lead 400 laps and dominate. I mentioned Kyle Larson, Kevin Harvick, and Joey Logano all as contenders to win this race. I think all three will be in the Top 5 and they will give Kyle Busch all he can handle.

Another driver that wasn’t listed as a favorite, but could win this race, is Denny Hamlin. In 25 starts at Richmond, Hamlin has 3 wins, 11 Top 5’s and 15 Top 10’s. He also has a 9.6 average finish with zero DNFs. His 60% Top 10 finish rate is very impressive. Let’s also not forget that Denny Hamlin is 2nd in the driver standings and also has 2 wins this season.

Rounding out the Top 10 will be Kurt Busch, Jimmie Johnson, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, and Ryan Newman.

As for the race winner, you can only really pick one driver – Kyle Busch. I’ve tried to get cute in previous weeks and pick someone else instead of Kyle, but it blew up in my face. This weekend, I rather go with the man and take the safe play with Rowdy winning this race for the 6th time in his career.

Race after race, @KyleBusch continues to impress.

Can anyone stop the 1️⃣8️⃣ in 2019? https://t.co/mAKDzx5Qzjpic.twitter.com/SinbGecb0r

— NASCAR (@NASCAR) April 9, 2019

My Top 5 Drivers

• Kyle Busch
• Kyle Larson
• Joey Logano
• Kevin Harvick
• Denny Hamlin

Toyota Owners 400 Vegas Odds Today

Toyota Owners 400 Betting Recap

Winner:

• Kyle Busch (+200)

Betting Value:

• Kurt Busch (+2200)
• Kyle Larson (+2200)
• Jimmie Johnson (+2800)

Longshot:

• Ryan Newman (+10000)

Toyota Owners 400

Driver Matchups:

• Kyle Larson (-115) over Aric Almirola
• Ryan Newman (+100) over Austin Dillon (-130)
• Jimmie Johnson (-160) over Ricky Stenhouse Jr

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